A First Pass at a Design for The Singularity

Human relationships have progressed through six orders.
The seventh is upon us. I forecast that the revolution will be in 2014.

	2^0	| 1 self
x2
	2^1	= 2 partnership (one-on-one)
x4
	2^3	| 8 family
x16
	2^7	= 128 team
x256
	2^15	| 32,768 tribe\hierarchy (B)
		- with a person at the top
x64K
	2^31	= 2,147,483,648 civil society (F)
x4B
	2^63	| 8*10^18 cyber society - 8 quintillion people - 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 (J)
		- At 1 billion people per planet, that's 8 billion planets.
		- At 1 billion agents per person that's 8 billion people
		- with the person at the top
x2^64
	2^127	= what would this be?, it's not even imaginable to me (Network)


Here is the same progression again focusing on the expected number of people for each order, showing group size:


1	self	|
2	pair	= each interacts with 1 - (1 other) - God is a friend
8	family	| each interacts with 2 - (1 mother, 1 father) - God is the father
128	team	= each interacts with 8 - (2 chiefs, 4 members, 2 others) - God is the captain - there is only one God, the 

creator of the universe
2^15	tribe	| each interacts with 128 - (2 hierarchs, 4 above above, 8 above, 16 below, 32 peers, 64 others) - God is 

the top of the hierarchy, bad: there are many gods
2^31	civil	= each interacts with 2^15 - (2K competitors, 4K vendors, 8K customers, 16K market) - God is the most 

important, bad: god is everything
2^63	join	| each interacts with 2^31 - (120M deciders, 250M organizers, 500M services?, 1B people in the world) - God 

weaves the spread, bad: I am the center?
2^127	network	= each interacts with 2^63 - (2^127 agents)


What if every person in the world had a separate intelligent agent (an artificial person) to interact with every other person in the world as part of the next order. How would that do?



How out of a billion agents do you rise to the level of attention?

- to conceive, select, grow, implement an idea
- to work/create together
- to alert each other
- to broadcast a message to many
- to converse
- to help each other
- to understand each other
- to know each other so that we can know the significance of the contact
- to 1 build a partnership
- to 2 marry each other
- to 3 build a team
- to 4 build a hierarchy
- to 5 build a civil market
- to listen to many
- and the agent would make decisions
- and the agent would interact with other agents in order to determine priority
- the agent would become an entity
- sales vs honesty (fix this problem)
- therapy/support
- navigating the spread

- and the agents would have 2^127 interactions 'links' - but you need to develop the agents first

- what can an entity do? create, analyze, decide, interact, learn/grow, love, attack, ignore, search/find, follow/obey



Here is the history structure within which each of these orders has/will occur:


----1	226B yrs
-W-
-V-
-U-
-T-
----2	14.1 B yrs
-S-universe/stars
-R-planets
-Q-quickening/life
-P-oxygen
----3	881,942,216 yrs
-O-animals
-N-land
-M-massive/size
-L-flowers
----4	55,121,389 yrs
-K-lemurs
-J-jungle/monkeys
-I-apes					64 ice ages
-H-hominids				32 ice ages
----5	3445086.8 yrs
-G-humans				16 ice ages
-F-family				8 ice ages
-E-stone				4 ice ages
-D-killing/language			2 ice ages
----6	215317.92 yrs
-C-consciousness/minds/cold		1 ice age
-B-teams
-A-artifact/technology
 @-merging
----7	13457.370 yrs
+A-agriculture/cultures	age		hexadecade	quartade	4096ade
+B-barbarian		-------		-------		-------		-------		-------
+C-civilized		1792 years	112 years	7 years		160 days	10 days
+D-dark/decycle/alphbet	897 years	56 years	3.5 years	80 days		5 days
----8	841.08564 yrs
+E-enlighten		448 years	28 years	640 days	40 days		sleepless
+F-federal		224 years	14 years (era)	320 days	20 days
+G-generator		112 years	7 yrs		160 days	10 days
+H-holocaust/computers	56 years	3.5 yrs		80 days		5 days
----9	52.567853 yrs
+I-internet/agents	28 years	640 days	40 days		sleepless - whatever was before does not impinge
+J-join			14 years	320 days	20 days
+K-krobotics		7 years		160 days	10 days
+L-loss			3.5 yrs		80 days		5 days
----10	3.2854908 yrs = 1200 days
+M-			640		40 days		sleepless - whatever was before does not impinge
+N-network		960		20 days
+O-			1120 days	10 days
+P-			1200 days	5 days
----11	75 days
+Q-queen of ?		1240 days	sleepless
+R-return?		1260 days
+S-			1270 days
+T-			1275 days
----12	4.6875 days = 112.5 hrs
+U-
+V-
+W-
+X-

with 7.03125 hrs left over


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Posted by: Jon Grover on Feb 27, 10 | 8:14 pm | Profile

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